اقتصاد کشاورزی و توسعه

اقتصاد کشاورزی و توسعه

بررسی جایگاه بخش «کشاورزی» در برنامه‌ هفتم پیشرفت

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه خوارزمی تهران، ایران.
2 دانشیار، گروه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه خوارزمی تهران، ایران.
3 استاد، گروه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه خوارزمی تهران، ایران.
10.30490/aead.2026.367634.1732
چکیده
بخش کشاورزی، به ‏دلیل وسعت عرصه تحت مدیریت و نیز به لحاظ تغییرپذیری و پویایی، از بخش‌هایی است که تدوین راهبردهای آن از اهمیت ویژه برخوردار است. نقش این بخش در امنیت غذایی و تأثیر آن در تولید ناخالص ملی اقتضا می‌کند که گام‌های اساسی برای انجام مطالعات پایه‌ای برداشته شود. برنامه هفتم پیشرفت (1407-1403) کشورمان که در سال‌های میانی انجام آن قرار دارد، فرصتی ارزشمند برای واکاوی عمیق این موضوع فراهم می‌آورد. بر این اساس، پژوهش کمی- کیفی حاضر، با رویکرد تحلیل شبکه‌های اجتماعی و با هدف تبیین روابط میان کنشگران و موضوعات قانونی بخش کشاورزی در چارچوب برنامه هفتم پیشرفت انجام شد.. اطلاعات لازم، پس از بررسی 120 ماده قانونی با استفاده از مکس‏ کیودا (MAXQDA) و به‏ صورت ماتریس خودتعاملی در ماتریس راوار (Ravar Matrix) به ‏دست آمد. برای تحلیل، از نرم‏‌افزارهای یوسی‏‌ای‏نت (UCInet)، گفی (Gephi) و شاخص‌های تحلیل شبکه در سه سطح کلان، میانی و خرد استفاده شد. در برنامه هفتم پیشرفت، از 120 ماده قانونی، پانزده ماده به‏ ویژه به زمینه‌های مرتبط با توسعه بخش کشاورزی اختصاص یافته است. یافته‌های پژوهش نشان داد که با وجود انسجام و تراکم در شبکه احکام قانونی، روابط کنشگران در شبکه برای انجام مسئولیت‌های قانونی خود پراکنده بوده و حاکی از نوعی عدم تقارن ساختاری در برنامه است؛ همچنین، چارچوب حکمرانی در برنامه بر محوریت اصلی «وزارت جهاد کشاورزی» است و «دولت» به ‏عنوان قانون‌گذار اصلی در پیرامون شبکه قرار دارد، در حالی که نقش بهره‌برداران و کشاورزان به‏ عنوان ذی‌نفعان اصلی تنها در جلب مشارکت آنها در برنامه مورد توجه بوده است. همچنین، موضوع اصلی احکام برنامه بر پایة مدیریت منابع آب، بهره‌وری و سلامت مواد غذایی قرار داشته است. از این‏‌رو، برای رفع گسست ساختاری و ارتقای هماهنگی، باید برنامه‌ریزان با مشارکت دادن واقعی بهره‌برداران و بازتعریف نقش کنشگران، اجرای قوانین را از حالت پراکنده خارج کنند و اثربخشی برنامه‌ها را افزایش دهند.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Analyzing the Role of “Agriculture” Sector in the Seventh Development Plan

نویسندگان English

Saeid Nasire Zare 1
Vahid Riahi 2
Hassan Afrakhteh 3
1 Ph.D. student, Department of Geography and Rural Planning, Kharazmi University of Tehran, Iran.
2 Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Rural Planning, Kharazmi University of Tehran, Iran.
3 Professor, Department of Geography and Rural Planning, Kharazmi University of Tehran, Iran.
چکیده English

Introduction: The agricultural sector, as one of the core pillars of development, has consistently been at the forefront of development agendas. Despite farms occupying up to 40 percent of the world's land area, many countries still face significant challenges related to food insecurity and malnutrition. The importance of this sector stems from the vast scope of its management and its inherent variability and dynamism, making the formulation of strategies for it of paramount significance. Therefore, it is imperative to take fundamental steps to prepare foundational studies for the agricultural sector. One approach that can address the failures of top-down and broad-brush strategies in programs of this sector is focusing on the intricate web of interrelated relationships within the agricultural sector. In this context, agriculture has also been a primary component of economic and social development plans in Iran. Despite numerous technical and specialized research and reports in development and construction programs aimed at achieving agricultural development goals, a more thorough examination of these programs is still necessary. It appears that a significant portion of the programs have been developed without in-depth studies on the mechanisms and interlinkages between the legal frameworks and key actors. This approach has led to reduced efficiency and effectiveness in developing this sector. The Seventh Development Plan (2024-2028) in its early stages offers a valuable opportunity to delve deeper into this issue. A comprehensive analysis of the governance pattern, power distribution, and connections between different planning levels (from national to local) in this plan can lead to a better understanding of challenges in the planning and implementation process.
Materials and Methods: The research was both applied in purpose and qualitative in nature, aiming to identify the legal topics related to the agricultural sector and discover the key actors/organizations involved in implementing the Seventh Development Plan (2024-2028). For this purpose, all chapters and 120 legal articles of the Seventh Plan were systematically studied and the relevant data extracted. Due to the volume of data and some program overlaps, the coding and data management process was conducted using MAXQDA 2020. To enhance accuracy and minimize bias, the findings were reviewed and revised in three stages by two academic experts in agriculture and natural resources. The data was then prepared in a network-analyzable format, with two text files created to form a binary matrix. The Ravar Matrix software was utilized to construct the binary matrix in this stage. Ultimately, the binary matrix served as the basis for analysis in UCInet and Gephi. Network analysis indicators were examined at three levels: macro, meso, and micro.
Results and Discussion: In the Seventh Development Plan, 15 legal articles are directly allocated to the agricultural sector. According to the research findings, the relationships between legal themes and actors have formed cohesive yet distinct structures. The network of legal themes, with its numerous links, exhibits higher density, indicating integration, interdependence, and the potential for rapid information dissemination among themes. In contrast, the network of actors is more dispersed, with fewer links leading to the formation of smaller sub-networks. At the meso-level, 12 main actors such as the Ministry of Agriculture-Jahad (MAJ), Ministry of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs and Finance, the Science Vice-Presidency, research organizations, and the private sector are positioned at the core of the network. An additional 21 actors in the periphery cover executive, supportive, supervisory, and specialized roles. In the legal themes network, 11 key themes including water consumption management, production productivity, food security and safety, resilient agriculture, development of smart irrigation management, etc. are at the center, indicating the strategic direction of the plan. Furthermore, 22 peripheral themes cover the operational and supportive aspects of the plan. An examination of micro-indicators also revealed that the themes of “water consumption management”, “production productivity”, and “self-sufficiency” had the highest centrality and served as the main focus for other legal articles. Conversely, themes such as “food safety and security”, “agricultural plan implementation”, and “technical and supportive aid” had played a mediating and linking role, establishing connections between the various articles of the plan.
Conclusion and Policy Recommendations: The research indicated that although the Seventh Development Plan had thematic coherence by focusing on water resource management, productivity, and food security, there existed a structural disconnect between the legal articles and the actors involved. This disconnect would affect the effective implementation of policies. In this context, despite the MAJ bearing the primary burden of operational responsibilities, the marginal position of the government as a macro-policy maker, and particularly the lack of effective participation by users and farmers (as the main beneficiaries) under the legal articles, would be fundamental weaknesses of this plan. Therefore, it can be concluded that planners must move the implementation of legal articles away from a scattered and isolated state by addressing the structural disconnect between actors and strengthening inter-institutional coordination. Enhancing the status of users and ensuring their genuine participation as the main beneficiaries is essential for the success of legal articles such as sustainable water management, improved productivity, and food security. Furthermore, redefining the role of the government and executive institutions within a cohesive governance framework can significantly increase the effectiveness of legal articles under the Seventh Development Plan for the development of the agricultural sector.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Development
Agriculture
Development Plan
Network Analysis.
1.       Abbasi, A., Hossain, L., & Leydesdorff, L. (2012). Betweenness centrality as a driver of preferential attachment in the evolution of research collaboration networks. Journal of Informetrics, 6(3), 403-412.
2.       Afrakhteh, H., Hajipour, M., Gorzin, M., & Nejati, B. (2013). The situation of sustainable agricultural development in Iran development plans case: five-year plans after the revolution. Quarterly Journal of The Macro and Strategic Policies, 1(1), 43-62. DOI: 10.30507/jmsp.2013.3269. [In Persian]
3.       Aghasizadeh, F., Dashti, S., & Etemadzadeh, A. H. (2009). Conceptual and content model of the five-year development plans of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Barnameh Weekly, 7(300), 15-21. [In Persian]
4.       Asadifard, R., Tabatabaeian, S. H., Soufi, J. B., & Taghva, M. R. (2017). A model for investigating the stability factors in formal science and technology collaborative networks: a case study of Iran. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 122, 139-150. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.039.
5.       Azkia, M., & Dibaji Forushani, Sh. (2017). Critique of rural development programs in Iran. Journal of Social Studies and Research in Iran, 5(1), 103-125. [In Persian]
6.       Bastani, S., & Raeisi, M. (2012). Network analysis method: using whole-network approaches in the study of open-source communities. Iranian Journal of Social Studies, 5(2), 31-57. [In Persian]
7.       Bincy, K., Logaraj, M., & Anantharaman, V. V. (2022). Social net work and its effect on selected dimension of health and quality of life among community dwelling urban and rural geriatric population in India. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health, Elsevier, 16, 101083. DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2022.101083.
8.       Chigbu, U. E. (2012). Village renewal as an instrument of rural development: evidence from Weyarn, Germany. Community Development, 43(2), 209-224. DOI: 10.1080/15575330.2011.575231.
9.       Davis, J. H., & Goldberg, R. A. (1957). A concept of agribusiness. Boston, MA: Graduate School of Business Administration, Division of Research, Harvard University.
10.   deGraft‐Johnson, M., Suzuki, A., Sakurai, T., & Otsuka, K. (2014). On the transferability of the Asian rice green revolution to rainfed areas in Sub‐Saharan Africa: an assessment of technology intervention in Northern Ghana. Agricultural Economics, 45(5), 555-570. DOI: 10.1111/agec.12106.
11.   Dehghanizadeh, M., Bakhtiari, S., & Daee-Karimzadeh, S. (2021). Evaluation of the simultaneous achievement of economic goals in the agricultural sector under water resource constraints within the framework of the Sixth Development Plan: the case of Yazd province. Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research, 52(2), 275-285. [In Persian]
12.   Esmaeili, S. (2023). Analysis of the Sixth National Development Plan of the Islamic Republic of Iran to achieve sustainable and compatible development in agriculture, natural resources, and the environment. Journal of Renewable Natural Resources Research, 13(2), 1-19. [In Persian]
13.   FAO (2017). Information and Communication Technology (ICT) in Agriculture-A Report to the G20 Agricultural Deputies. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), Rome, Italy. Available at https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/i7961en.
14.   GCRI (2018). Constitutions of the Islamic Republic of Iran. First Edition. The Guardian Council Research Institute (GCRI), Tehran, Iran. [In Persian]
15.   Ghaemi, A., Larijani, M., Shabiri, S. M., & Sarmadi, M. R. (2018). Presentation of a conceptual model for sustainable governance in the integrated management of Iran’s water resources with an emphasis on education and capacity building. Water and Wastewater Journal, 28(4), 112-117. [In Persian]
16.   Gharib, R. (2006). Analysis of challenges and orientations of agricultural and natural resources sector goals in the First, Second, and Third Development Plans. Proceedings of the Conference on Challenges and Prospects of Development in Iran (Vol. 2), 305-320. [In Persian]
17.   Ghasemi, F., Rezvani, M. R., & Badri, S. A. (2025). Identifying and analysing the determinants of cooperation networks among rural development stakeholders (case study: Qazvin province). Journal of Rural Research, 17(1), e103166. DOI: 10.22059/jrur.2025.394842.2031. [In Persian]
18.   Gholamrezaei, D., & Shah‑Tahmasebi, E. (2010). Evaluation of the relative efficiency of Iran’s provinces in achieving agricultural objectives of the Third Development Plan. Agricultural Economics and Development, 17(67), 155-178. [In Persian]
19.   Hassanabadi, D., Hajalizadeh, A., & Heydarvand, M. (2018). Evaluation of stakeholders’ social capital network for sustainable local development. Journal of Range and Watershed Management, 70(1), 71-86. [In Persian]
20.   Hillier, J. (2009). Shadows of power: an allegory of prudence in land-use planning. Translated by K. Pouladi, Iranian Society of Consulting Engineers, Tehran. [In Persian]
21.   Jahangard, E. (2006). An analysis of investment compatibility in Iran’s development plans. Plan and Budget, 90, 31-52. [In Persian]
22.   Kapucu, N., & Garayev, V. (2013). Designing, managing, and sustaining functionally collaborative emergency management networks. The American Review of Public Administration, 43(3), 312-330. DOI: 10.1177/0275074012444719.
23.   Kazemi, S. H., & Palouj, M. (2012). Evaluation of agricultural sector strategies in the four five-year development plans. Agricultural Economics Research, 3(4), 39-65. [In Persian]
24.   Khaledi, K. (2015). Estimating the share of added value of agricultural businesses in Iran’s economy. Ministry of Agriculture-Jahad (MAJ), Agricultural Planning, Economics and Rural Development Research Institute (APERDRI), Tehran, Iran.
25.   Lesiv, M., Laso Bayas, J. C., See, L., Duerauer, M., Dahlia, D., Durando, N., Hazarika, R., Kumar Sahariah, P., Vakolyuk, M., & Blyshchyk, V. (2019). Estimating the global distribution of field size using crowdsourcing. Global Change Biology, 25(1), 174-186.
26.   Mitchell, J. (1969). The concept and use of social networks. In: J. Mitchell (Ed.) Social networks in urban situations. Manchester University Press, Manchester.
27.   Mohammadi-Kangarani, H., & Hosseinzadeh, M. (2017). Examination of the structure and distribution of power among responsible institutions in the Fifth Development Plan using the social network analysis approach. Public Policy Quarterly, 2(4), 89-107. DOI: 10.22059/ppolicy.2017.60835. [In Persian]
28.   Murdoch, J. (1998). The spaces of actor-network theory. Geoforum, 29(4), 357-374. DOI: 10.1016/s0016-7185(98)00011-6.
29.   Musiolik, J., & Markard, J. (2011). Creating and shaping innovation systems: formal networks in the innovation system for stationary fuel cells in Germany. Energy Policy, 39(4), 1909-1922. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.12.052.
30.   Nasire Zare, S., & Riahi, V. (2022). Analysis of the conformity of rural planning studies with the challenges of rural areas in Iran. Journal of Rural Research, 13(2), 246-261. DOI: 10.22059/jrur.2022.334728.1700. [In Persian] 
31.   Nasire Zare, S., & Riahi, V. (2023). Analysis of scientific cooperation networks in the Journal of Spatial Economics and Rural Development. Journal of Spatial Economics and Rural Development, 12(43), 19-36. DOR: 20.1001.1.23222131.1402.12.43.2.0. [In Persian]
32.   Nasire Zare, S., & Tahmasebi, A. (2023). An analysis of the key drivers of agricultural water resource governance (case study: Tarom County). Journal of Water and Sustainable Development, 9(1), 39-52. DOI: 10.22067/jwsd.v9i1.2111.1102. [In Persian]
33.   Nikzad, M., Jamali, H. R., & Hariri, N. (2011). Patterns of Iranian co-authorship networks in social sciences: a comparative study. Library & Information Science Research, 33(4), 313-319.
34.   Ostovari, M., & Shirzad, H. (2004). A comparative study of credit management and investment guidance in the agricultural sector during the first, second, and third development plans. Proceedings of the Conference on Agricultural Financing, Experiences and Lessons, Tarbiat Modares University, Economics Research Institute (pp. 303-329). [In Persian]
35.   PBO (2007). The Third Economic, Social, and Cultural Development Plan of the Islamic Republic of Iran (2000-2004). Plan and Budget Organization (PBO), Tehran, Iran. [In Persian]
36.   Prager, K., Nienaber, B., Neumann, B., & Phillips, A. (2015). How should rural policy be evaluated if it aims to foster community involvement in environmental management? Journal of Rural Studie, 37, 120-131. DOI: 10.1016/j.jrurstud.2014.12.006.
37.   Rahimi, A. (1999). Evaluation of rural development approaches in Iran. Proceedings of the Conference on Fifty Years of Development Planning in Iran (2). [In Persian]
38.   Salami, H., Saebani, Z., & Sadr, S. K. (2011). Estimation of capital stock in Iran’s agricultural subsectors and its formation across development plans. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 10(1), 133-169. [In Persian]
39.   Shafiepour Motlagh, R., Rahmani, B., & Razavian, M. T. (2022). Investigating the role of global markets in the development of Iran’s agriculture with an entrepreneurship approach. Scientific-Research Quarterly of Regional Geography and Planning, 12(3), 351-370. DOI: 10.22034/jgeoq.2022.322215.3503. [In Persian]
40.   Sivakumar, B. (2011). Global climate change and its impacts on water resources planning and management: assessment and challenges. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 25(4), 583-600.
41.   Tatar, M., Paezen, A., & Ahmadvanad, M. (2016). Good governance as the key to the crisis of agricultural water management: a conceptual model based on conflict management. First Annual Congress on the World and the Energy Crisis. [In Persian]
42.   Vignesh, C. C., & Kalaikumaran, T. (2019). E-marketing for farmers. International Journal of Scientific Research and Review, 7(3), 70-76.
43.   Wang, Y., Zhang, Q., Li, Q., Wang, J., Sannigrahi, S., Bilsborrow, R., & ... Song, C. (2021). Role of social networks in building household livelihood resilience under payments for ecosystem services programs in a poor rural community in China. Journal of Rural Studies, 86, 208-225.
44.   Zheliazkov, G., Zaimova, D., Genchev, E. &, & Toneva, K. (2015). Cluster development in rural areas. Economics of Agriculture, 62(1), 73-93. DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.200513.