Optimization of Cropping Pattern Regarding Risk in Rey County of Iran

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 MSc Graduate in Agricultural Economics, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran

2 Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran

3 Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran

Abstract

In this study, the optimum cropping pattern in Rey County of Iran was determined using Linear Programming model (conventional), considering various degrees of risk using risk models of MOTAD, Target MOTAD and Advanced MOTAD. The required data were collected through field study and filling out 149 questionnaires from beneficiaries of the county as well as the concerned Agricultural-Jehad Management and subordinate organizations and offices in five farming years of 2010-15. The results from linear programming model showed that compared to the present status, applying the optimized cropping pattern made 6.69 percent increase in programmed output. Also, the results from estimation of risky models suggested that there was a positive relationship between risk and the farm’s programmed output. Again, risky models in highest possible level of risk indicated results similar to those of linear programming, and the pattern presented by linear model was placed at maximum possible level of risk.

Keywords


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