بررسی اثر عضویت ایران در موافقت نامه های تجاری بر صادرات پسته ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران

2 استادیار اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران

3 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران

چکیده

موافقت‌نامه‌های تجاری به طور کلی با کاهش هزینه‌های تجاری و افزایش ایمنی قراردادها نقشی مؤثر در جهت کاهش موانع تجارت دارد. ایران در دو موافقت‌نامه تجاری نظام جهانی ترجیحات تجاری (GSTP) و سازمان همکاری‌های اقتصادی (ECO) حضور دارد. باوجود آنکه باور عمومی بر این است که حضور در موافقت‌نامه‌های تجاری به طور کلی اثری مثبت بر جریان تجاری کشورها دارد ولی ضمانتی برای این اثر در همه کشورها و کالاها وجود ندارد. لذا با توجه به اهمیت صادرات پسته برای ایران، هدف مطالعه حاضر پاسخ به این پرسش است که آیا حضور ایران در موافقت‌نامه‌های تجاری موجب افزایش صادرات پسته ایران شده است؟ برای دستیابی هدف، از الگوی جاذبه و داده‌های صادرات پسته در دوره زمانی 2001-2016 استفاده شده است. براساس نتایج، عضویت ایران در موافقت‌نامه‌های تجاری اثری مثبت و معنی‌دار (0/380) بر صادرات پسته ایران داشته است. لذا پیشنهاد می‌شود که شرکت‌های صادراتی پسته، از فرصت‌های موجود به واسطه حضور در این موافقت‌نامه‌های تجاری جهت اتخاذ سیاست‌ها و استراتژی‌های مناسب بازاریابی به منظور افزایش صادرات پسته ایران به شرکای تجاری عضو توافق‌نامه بهره ببرند.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating the Effect of Iran’s Membership in Trade Agreements on Iranian Pistachio Exports

نویسندگان [English]

  • M. Aminizadeh 1
  • H. Rafiee 2
  • S. A. Zare 3
  • M. Kaboudtabar 3
  • A. Kazempour Kahriz 3
1 PhD Student in Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad Iran
2 Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
3 MSc Student in Agricultural Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran. Iran
چکیده [English]

Trade agreements are generally effective in reducing barriers to trade by reducing the trade costs and increasing the safety of contracts. Iran is a member of the two world trade agreements known as Global System of Trade Preferences (GSTP) and Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO). Despite the general belief that the presence in trade agreements generally has a positive effect on the trading flow of the countries, there is no guarantee about this effect in all countries and goods. Therefore, considering the importance of pistachio exports of Iran, this study aimed to find out whether Iran’s presence in trade agreements increased exports of Iranian pistachio. For this purpose, the gravity model and pistachios export data during 2001-2016 were used. Based on the results, Iran’s membership in the trade agreements had a positive and statistically significant impact (0.380) on Iranian pistachio exports. Therefore, it was suggested that pistachio exports companies would benefit from the opportunities provided by participating in these and additional trade agreements to adopt appropriate marketing policies and strategies to increase Iran’s pistachio exports to its trading partners.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Trade Agreement
  • Gravity Model
  • Pistachio
  • Iran
  1. Abdollahi Ezzatabadi, M. (2010). An investigation of the role of Aflatoxin in the instability of pistachio market and measuring WTP for reducing contamination. Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research, 2: 159-169. (Persian)
  2. Aminizadeh, M., Rafiee, H., Riahi, A. and Mehrparvar Hosseini, E. (2014). Pattern of competitiveness of the world premier pistachio exporters in Iran's importing market. Agricultural Economics, 8(2): 41-68. (Persian)
  3. Amjadi, A, Mohammadzadeh, R. and Barikani, A. (2010). Determining target market of Iran's pistachio and date export using export demand model and screening method. Agricultural Economics and Development, 18: 193-220. (Persian)
  4. Anwar, S. and Nguyen, l.P. (2011). Foreign direct investment and trade: the case of Vietnam. Research in International Business and Finance, 25: 39-52.
  5. Ashkturab, N. (2011). Investigating effective factors on demand function of Iranian export pistachio. Master's Thesis, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad. (Persian)
  6. Bagwell, K. and Staiger, R.W. (2004). Multilateral trade negotiations, bilateral opportunism and the rules of GATT/WTO. Journal of International Economics, 63: 1-29.
  7. Biria, S. and Jabal-Ameli, F. (2006). The effective factors in exporting pistachio, saffron and dates in Iran's non-oil export commodities basket, 1991-2001. Agricultural Economics and Development, 14(54): 85-102. (Persian)
  8. Caporale, G.M., Sova, A. and Sova, R. (2015). Trade flows and trade specialisation: the case of China. China Economic Review, 34: 261-273.
  9. CEPII. (2018). Cepii database. Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales (CEPII). Available at http://www.cepii.fr/.
  10. FAO (2018). FAO statistics and data. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Available at http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/bc.
  11. Fracasso, A. (2014). A gravity model of virtual water trade. Ecological Economics, 108: 215-228.
  12. Fulponi, L. and Engler, A. (2013). The impact of regional trade agreements on Chilean fruit exports. Available at https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/agriculture-and-food/the-impact-of-regional-trade-agreements-on-chilean-fruit-exports_5k3z0kd43z5f-en
  13. IRICA (2018). IRICA database. Islamic Republic of Iran Customers Administration (IRICA). Available at http://www.irica.gov.ir/portal/home/.(Persian)
  14. Karbasi, A. (2015). Estimating the export demand function of Iran's pistachio in selected destination markets. Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 7: 91-112. (Persian)
  15. Kareem, O.I. (2016). Food safety regulations and fish trade: evidence from European Union-Africa trade relations. Journal of Commodity Markets, 2: 18-25.
  16. Koochakzadeh, A. and Mehrabi Boshrbadi, H. (2014). Effect of exchange rate uncertainty on trade of agricultural products in Iran (case study: pistachio, dates, raisins and walnuts). Agricultural Economics and Development, 22: 109-125. (Persian)
  17. Mazhikeyev, A., Edwards, T.H. and Rizov, M. (2015). Openness and isolation: the trade performance of the former Soviet Central Asian Countries. International Business Review, 24: 935-947.
  18. Moghaddasi, R. and Rahimi, R. (2012). The effects of free trade agreements on agricultural bilateral trade in ECO countries. Journal of Financial Economics, 5: 9-22. (persian)
  19. Mohammadi, H.A. (2013). Assessment of effective factors on supply and demand of Iran's pistachios export (vector auto regression approach). Journal of Agricultural Economics, 7: 23-42. (Persian)
  20. Mortazavi, S.A., Zamani, O., Noori, M. and Nader, H. (2011). Investigation of effect of exchange rate volatility on Iran's pistachio export. Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research, 25: 347-354. (Persian)
  21. Natale, F., Borrello, A. and Motova, A. (2015). Analysis of the determinants of international seafood trade using a gravity model. Marine Policy, 60: 98-106.
  22. Paudel, R.C. and Burke, P.J. (2015). Exchange rate policy and export performance in a landlocked developing country: the case of Nepal. Journal of Asian Economics, 38: 55-63.
  23. Pishbahar, A., Dashti, Gh., Zohouri Kahnamouei, R., Raheli, H. and Hosseinzad, J. (2013). Analyzing affective economic factors on demand export of Iran's pistachio. Agricultural Economics and Development, 21: 1-17. (Persian)
  24. Sagheb, H.A. (2006). The effects of establishing preferential tariffs among the members of D8 Group on Iranian agricultural trade. Agricultural Economics and Development, 55: 91-120. (Persian)
  25. Scoppola, M., Raimondi, V. and Olper, A. (2018). The impact of EU trade preferences on the extensive and intensive margins of agricultural and food products. Agricultural Economics, 49: 251-263.
  26. Shepherd, B. and Wilson, N.L. (2013). Product standards and developing country agricultural exports: the case of the European Union. Food Policy, 42: 1-10.
  27. Tinbergen, J. (1962). Shaping the world economy; suggestions for an international economic policy. New York: The Twentieth Century Fund.
  28. Toosi, M., Moghaddasi, R., Yazdani, S. and Ahmadian, M. (2011). Regionalism and Iran's agricultural trade promotion in Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO). Agricultural Economics, 4: 131-157. (Persian)
  29. Tran, N., Nguyen, A. and Wilson, N.L. (2014). The differential effects of food safety regulations on animal products trade: the case of crustacean product trade. Agribusiness, 30: 31-45.
  30. Vanhnalat, B., Phonvisay, A. and Sengsourivong, B. (2015). Assessment of the effect of free trade agreements on exports of Laopdr. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 5: 365-376.
  31. Wilson,J. and Otsuki, T. (2002). To spray or not to spray? Pesticides, banana exports, and food safety. The World Bank.
  32. World Bank (2018). World Bank database. Available at https://data.worldbank.org/.
  33. World Bank (2005). Global economic prospects: trade, regionalism, and development. World Bank: The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
  34. WTO (2018). WTO database. World Trade Organization (WTO). Available at http://rtais.wto.org/ui/publicmaintainrt ahome.aspx.
  35. Zheng, Z., Saghaeian, S.H. and Reed, M.R. (2012). Factors affecting the export demand for US pistachios. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 15: 139.