بررسی اهمیت نسبی بخش کشاورزی در بین بخش‌های کلیدی اقتصاد ایران: رهیافت ماتریس حسابداری اجتماعی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.

2 نویسنده مسئول و دانشیار گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.

چکیده

با توجه به محدودیت و کمیابی منابع، تعیین بخش‌هایی که سرمایه‌گذاری در آنها محرک اقتصاد و موجب رشد اقتصادی بیشتری باشد، همواره در کانون توجه بسیاری از برنامه‏ ریزان اقتصادی بوده است. از این‏رو، در پژوهش حاضر، به تعیین بخش‌های کلیدی در اقتصاد ایران از طریق محاسبه پیوندهای پیشین و پسین بر اساس ماتریس حسابداری اجتماعی سال 1390 مرکز پژوهش‌های مجلس شورای اسلامی پرداخته شد. نتایج حاکی از آن بود که از لحاظ پیوند پیشین بخش‌های صنایع (9/4161 هزار میلیارد ریال)، کشاورزی (8/1422 هزار میلیارد ریال)، بازرگانی (6/1396 هزار میلیارد ریال) و خدمات (8/1280 هزار میلیارد ریال) نسبت به سایر بخش‌ها اولویت دارند، حال آنکه از نظر پیوند پسین، بخش‌های صنایع (04/6053 هزار میلیارد ریال)، ساختمان (3/2103 هزار میلیارد ریال)، خدمات (2/1992 هزار میلیارد ریال) و کشاورزی (2/1486 هزار میلیارد ریال) در اولویت قرار می‌گیرند؛ افزون بر این، از نظر هر دو دسته پیوندهای پیشین و پسین، به‏ترتیب، بخش‌های صنایع، کشاورزی و خدمات در رتبه‌های بالاتر جای دارند. بنابراین، با توجه به تعیین بخش‌های کلیدی یادشده، انتظار می‌رود که با هدایت منابع و افزایش سرمایه‌گذاری در توسعه این بخش‌ها، بتوان به رشد اقتصادی کشور کمک کرد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating the Relative Importance of Agricultural Sector among Key Sectors of Iranian Economy Based on Social Accounting Matrix Approach

نویسندگان [English]

  • P. Zand 1
  • H. Mosavi 2
1 PhD Student in Agricultural Economics, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.
2 Corresponding Author and Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran (shamosavi@modares.ac.ir).
چکیده [English]

Due to the limited and scarcity of resources, determining the sectors in which investment stimulates the economy and causes more economic growth, has always been focused by many economic planners. Therefore, in the present study, the key sectors in the Iranian economy were determined by calculating the backward and forward linkages based on the 2011 social accounting matrix of the Islamic Parliament Research Center (IPRC). The results showed that in terms of backward linkage in the sectors of industry (4161.9 trillion rials), agriculture (1422.8 trillion rials), trade (1396.6 trillion rials) and services (1280.8 trillion rials) had priority over other sectors while in terms of forward linkage, the sectors of industry (6053.04 trillion rials), construction (2103.3 trillion rials), services (1992.2 trillion rials) and agriculture (1486.2 trillion rials) were respectively prioritized; in addition, the industrial, agricultural, and services sectors ranked higher in both the backward and forward linkages, respectively. Therefore, considering the determination of the mentioned key sectors, it is expected that directing resources and increasing investment in the development of these sectors can contribute to the economic growth of the country.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Key Sections
  • Backward and Forward Linkages
  • Agricultural Sector
  • Social Accounting Matrix

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