سنجش تغییرات ساختاری در ترجیحات مصرف‌کنندگان خیار وارداتی در فدراسیون روسیه

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 نویسنده مسئول و دانشیار گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه اردکان، اردکان، ایران

2 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، پردیس کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.

3 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی ساری، ساری، ایران.

4 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، پردیس کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران،ایران.

چکیده

تحریم‌های غرب نسبت به فدراسیون روسیه و اقدام متقابل فدراسیون روسیه در سال 2014 و تحریم واردات مواد غذایی از غرب شامل اتحادیه اروپا، امریکا، استرالیا، کانادا و نروژ این فرضیه را تداعی می‌کند که ممکن است تغییراتی در ترجیحات مصرف‌کنندگان کشور روسیه نسبت به برخی محصولات از جمله محصول خیار وارداتی ایران رخ داده باشد. در مطالعه حاضر، با استفاده از روش ناپارامتری بر مبنای اصل تعمیم‌یافته ترجیحات آشکارشده (GARP)، بررسی و آزمون این فرضیه انجام گرفت. در این راستا، داده‌های قیمت و مقدار مربوط به واردات خیار فدراسیون روسیه از ایران و کشورهای ترکیه و چین با بیشترین صادرات این محصول به روسیه برای دوره زمانی 2017-2000 بررسی شد. نتایج مطالعه نشان داد که یک تغییر ساختاری معنی‌دار در ترجیحات مصرف‌کنندگان کشور روسیه در سال 2003 به نفع محصول خیار ایران رخ داده، که نشان‌دهندة پایداری و وفاداری مصرف‌کنندگان کشور روسیه نسبت به خیار وارداتی از سوی ایران است؛ در نهایت، مناقشات سیاسی فدراسیون روسیه و ترکیه فرصتی مناسب برای توسعه صادرات محصولات ایرانی در بازار فدراسیون روسیه فراهم کرده است. اطمینان از تولید خیار باکیفیت در تمام ایام سال و عدم تغییر سیاست‌های دولت در صادرات می‌تواند کمکی به افزایش سهم ایران در بازار فدراسیون روسیه باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Measuring Structural Changes in The Preferences of Consumers of Imported Cucumbers in The Russian Federation

نویسندگان [English]

  • A. Fatahi ardakani 1
  • M. Rezvani 2
  • Y. Bostan 3
  • F. Sakhi 4
1 Corresponding Author and Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Ardakan University, Ardakan, Iran
2 PhD Student in Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Economics and Agricultural Development, Campus of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
3 PhD Student in Agricultural Economics, Sari University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Sari, Iran.
4 PhD Student in Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Economics and Agricultural Development, Campus of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

Western sanctions against the Russian Federation and the Russian Federation's retaliation in 2014 and sanctions on food imports from the West, including the European Union, the United States, Australia, Canada and Norway, suggest that there may be changes in Russian consumers' preferences for cucumber. Imported from Iran has occurred. The present study tests this hypothesis using a nonparametric method based on the Generalized Axiom of Revealed Preferences (GARP). In this regard, price and quantity data related to the import of Russian Federation cucumbers from Iran and the countries that had the most exports of this product to Russia (Turkey and China); Reviewed for the period 2017-2000. The results of the study show that a significant structural change in the preferences of Russian consumers occurred in 2003 in favor of Iranian cucumber, which indicates the stability and loyalty of Russian consumers to cucumbers imported from Iran. Finally, the political disputes between the Russian Federation and Turkey have provided a good opportunity to develop the export of Iranian products in the market of the Russian Federation. Ensuring the production of quality cucumbers throughout the year and not changing government policies on exports can help increase Iran's share of the Russian Federation market.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Koo Test
  • Rational Choice
  • Revealed Preference
  • Russian Agriculture
  • Sanctions

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